General social/ geographical context of the crime problem
Location/ built environment
Demographic patterns/ trends
Historical and current action
Initiation and demand for action
audits, emergent problems, referral and intake processes
External initiatives to mobilise the preventive agency
The crime problem to be addressed
Definitional issues & action frameworks
Eg whether a crime, safety or terror problem, an offender problem/case, an area problem
Aspects of crime problem, pattern of risk and its context
Types of offenders
MO - see tactical methods and procedures
Target property damaged - see tactical methods
Target premises - see tactical methods
Target persons/ organisations - see tactical methods
Owners/ managers of property/ premises - see role analysis
Immediate physical and social context of event/s
Wider physical and social context of event/s
Timing of events during day, week or year
Whether crime problem recent or of long-standing
Evidence of crime problem – sources of information and analysis
Crime pattern analysis to identify existing patterns of risk
Forecasting from known patterns of risk in similar circumstances
Analysis of risk and protective factors for offending a) in potential offenders’ life circumstances and/or b) in geographical areas
Interviews with actual/potential offenders
Technical issues of reliability, validity, bias etc
Know-how in data collection & analysis
Difficulties and tradeoffs encountered in collection or analysis, and any innovative approaches adopted
Significant harmful consequences of problem
Immediate, including trauma, injury or financial cost
Wider effects including fear, restriction of leisure, economic or domestic activity
Immediate causes, remote causes and risk factors for offending
Conjunction of Criminal Opportunity - causes
Offender
Predisposition
Lack of resources to avoid crime
Readiness to act
Resources for committing crime
Perception/ decision to act
Presence/ telepresence
Situation
Target (human/ material/ informational
Target enclosure
Wider environment
Absent/ incapable crime preventers
crime promoters
Risk and protective factors eg CRAVED
Concealable
Removable
Accessible
Valuable
Enjoyable
Disposable
Aims and aim-setting – at planning stage
Response
Intervention
Address causes of actions or events: weaken, block, remove Opportunity, reduce Motivation, influence Decisions and spoil performance
CPTED principles
Surveillance
Territoriality
Defensible space
Target hardening
Image and Maintenance
Activity support
Specific preventive methods
25 Techniques of Situational Crime Prevention based on increasing risk and effort to offender, reducing reward, and removing excuses and provocations
Modifying crime precipitators
Problem Analysis Triangle
Victim/target
Offender
Location
Conjunction of Criminal Opportunity - intervention principles
Offender
Early/ remedial modification of predisposition
Supply of resources to avoid crime
Reduce readiness to offend
Restrict resources for committing crime
Influence perception/ decision to act
Restrict presence/ telepresence
Situation
Target hardening, removal, value reduction
Create/harden target enclosure
Modify motivational/ tactical aspects of wiider environment
Install/ mobilise crime preventers
Remove/ demobilise/ convert crime promoters
The D principles
Influencing individual offenders
Deter-known and unknown
Detect
Detain
Defeat
Deflect/ direct
Deceive
Disable/ deny weapon/ tool
Discourage
Demotivate
Disconcert/ distract
Influencing criminal groups
Disrupt communications/ plans
Distrust
Dismantle
Prepare for mitigation of Harm to people, assets, system operation - to reduce effect of criminal action
All times
Reassurance/ community safety
During attack
Resist attack
Limit immediate harm
After attack
Mitigate immediate harm
Limit knock-on/ propagated harm
Implementation - tasks
Institutional/ organisational contexts
Institutional settings: civil, judicial and parajudicial
Organisational arrangements: is action stand-alone, embedded in a particular organisation or part of a programme
Recent or current transitions in institutional or organisational context
Infrastructure: training, guidance, data systems etc
Mode of delivery of action
Project
Service
Capacity-building only
Targeting of action
The problem, behaviour or condition tackled (see Aim under Intelligence)
Ecological level of action - whether it acts on individual people, places, communities
Targeting strategy
Basis of selection including risk & protective factors, known causes, risk patterns (of people, hot-spots etc), or needs
Principle of selection – Universal, Selective (e.g. at risk) or Indicated (e.g. convicted offenders, repeat victims)
Coverage
Targeting issues e.g. net-widening and efforts to avoid it
Tailoring of action to context
Lifecycle/s of action
Initiation
Execution
Exit
Basic execution process
Inputs
Processes
Practical implementation issues & solutions
Outputs
Management, planning and organisational issues
Setting of aims and objectives, including numerical targets: content, and how it was done
Development, building and maintenance of human, material and informational capacity
Scheduling, progress monitoring and quality assurance of operations
Risk management
Structures of internal management
Structures of external management
Change management and wider issues of adaptive capacity
Involvement - people and organisations
Partnership
Structural issues
Purpose of partnership in outcome terms
Operational, strategic, infrastructural
Composition and structure
Geographical scope
Pooling/ contribution of resources
Governance issues: responsibility, authority and accountability
Environment of the partnership
Process issues
Practical creation of partnership: including intelligence for planning the partnership
Creation and maintenance of partnership climate
Handling geographical and responsibility boundaries
Which operational tasks the partnership undertakes
Task-specific issues eg codes of practice on information exchange, service-level agreements on handling offenders etc
Day-to-day partnership operations: including inter-partner communications, decision-making and tactical coordination; partnership management (including performance management) & leadership
Working relationship between tactical & strategic levels
Sustainability of partnership
Dismantling or disengagement of partnership
Mobilisation
CLAIMED process
Clarify roles, responsibilities, tasks
Locate/ identify appropriate agents or organisations to undertake roles etc
Outreach
Alert them about problem and their role in causation/ solution
Inform them about nature, patterns, causes and solutions
Motivate them
Incentives
Self-interest
Duty/ right thing to do
Name & shame
Law/ sanctions
Role model
Empower them
Capacity-building including training, equipment, information, guidance, money
Legal powers
Alleviation of constraints
Direct them through standards, objectives etc
Sustainability of mobilisation
How/ why mobilisation ended
Multiple mobilisation
Implementation chains/nets
Systems of Involvement
Gateway mobilisations - referral to police/ other agencies
Conflicts, constraints and issues, and how resolved
Climate setting
Other:
Intel for Involvement
Accountability
Building collaborative capacity
Communication
Consultation
Demand
Risks & blockages
Assessment
Impact
Process evaluation
Success and failure of implementing each task
Whether the task, if successfully implemented to adequate quality, delivered the desired immediate result
Whether the task engendered positive or negative side-effects in crime or other spheres and how these happened
Enablers and constraints, conflicts, tradeoffs and synergies, collaboration and competition behind the successes and failures
How the process problems encountered were resolved or avoided, how benefits were capitalised on and failures coped with
Generic qualities of implementation eg adaptability and improvement, responsiveness and deliverability
Existing benchmarks applied and/or new ones indicated
Task-specific techniques for evaluating and quality-assuring particular processes
Overall methods of process evaluation/quality assurance themselves (e.g. observation, interview, document analysis) and how rigorous they were
The relationship between evaluators and practitioners, including independence and whether formative/summative evaluation
Impact evaluation - What Works
Aims of intervention
Context of evaluation
Evaluation is internal or external to the implementing organisation
Evaluation is independent or not independent
Type of evaluators – academic, commercial consultant, practitioner
Formative or summative evaluation
Routine evaluation or a one-off exercise
Orientation – whether evaluation covered impact, process or both
Climate of understanding and acceptance of impact evaluation with stakeholders
Methodology of evaluation
Approach – e.g. Realistic, Theories of Change, Experimental, qualitative
Design, e.g. before-after x action-control (and perhaps how this relates to methodological quality scales e.g. Maryland scale)
Basic parameters eg output measures, and intermediate and ultimate outcome measures (e.g. self-reported offending, police recorded crime figures) sample size and units (e.g. individuals, families, neighbourhoods), time periods
Statistical testing – methods and their justification, power considerations etc
Problems, issues and tradeoffs in the above, and any practical resolutions worth sharing
Results of evaluation
Main results
Change in intermediate or ultimate outcome measures?
Attributable to the intervention?
Confined to subsets of sites/ individuals?
Adaptive reactions by criminals to intervention?
How did intervention work - by what mechanisms, dependent on what contextual factors? Were latter essential or merely boosters?
Which ingredients were essential to any impact? Which boosted impact?
Harmful side effects on security? Or on other values?
Beneficial side effects? Were these from the Intervention itself or from Implementation/ Involvement actions?
How big and How cost-effective was attributable change - gross, or net of offender adaptations/ other side effects?
How can harmful side-effects be reduced and beneficial ones increased?
How big and how cost-effective was the gross attributable change? The attributable change net of offender adaptations and other side-effects on crime?
How big and how cost-effective was the gross attributable change? The attributable change net of offender adaptations and other side-effects on crime?
How durable or sustainable was the impact?
If no change in desired direction, to which task/s was failure attributable?
How far did the intervention meet its aims and any targets?
What were the limitations on performance and how might these be alleviated through improvements?
Wider performance/ selection measures
How responsive and scalable to crime/safety problems was the action?
Prioritisation of community safety action in terms of severity of consequences of crime/safety problems (and perhaps in line with wider policy targets eg transport business)
Accurate targeting on needs of victim and wider society – intervening universally or selectively as appropriate; and on causes of crime/safety problem – intervening at appropriate levels from local to international
Coverage on the ground, in terms of what proportion of a given crime problem the policy aims to tackle
Over what timescale did the Implementation/ Involvement occur, did the Intervention take effect, did the Impact reliably become apparent?
How legitimate or acceptable were the preventive actions, within the wider population, within minority subgroups, or even among offenders?