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Economic
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Adverse impact of IMF and World Bank
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Inability to act could plunge economy into underdevelopment
- Potential worst case scenario of Euro crisis could leave economies that default in serious depression without IMF and World Bank assistance
- South East Asia Crisis arguably caused by force from IMF and World Bank to remove regulation on short-term capital flows
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Weak underlying infrastructure
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Could be hard to be improve particulary if tax collecting infrastructure is poor
- Potential that this characteristic has reversed considering China has more network coverage than the U.S.
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Adverse impact of aid
- Of the $280bn that the Nigerian government has received in aid, most of which has failed to reach indigenous population
- Dead Aid - claims that aid fostered dependency, encouraged corruption, perpetuated poor governance and poverty
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Political
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Foreign Policy
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Political tension could arise and could lead to conflict
- Iranian government's controversy of involvement in murder of Saudi Arabian ambassador to the US could lead to sanctions
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Groupings
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Social
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Lack of pressure to develop democratically and respect human rights
- However, even most Commonwealth nations have homosexuality as a criminal offence
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Lack of attribution to social grouping could lead to isolation in trade
- Considering most of African nations belong either to Commonwealth or its French equivalent, countries left out are really a minority
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Economic
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On developed countries (as in potential to become underdeveloped)
- Could have domestic manufacturing and most secondary industry wages depressed through shift of focus to cheaper locations
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On developing countries
- Could have economic prosperity undermined if excluded from trade
- Feel of threat to China through exclusion from Asean
- If exposed in economic groupings could have labour exploited through free trade
- Impact on Mexican rural farmers of NAFTA as 19,000 have become unemployed since signing of NAFTA
- 24% decline in wages in Nike sweatshops in Thailand over last three years
- Creates 'race to bottom' in environmental standards
- East Asia and Indian subcontinent have undertaken drastic measures to allow excessive pollution to attract TNCs
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Colonial legacy
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Possibly inhibts democratic potential
- Consider Belgian and Dutch legacy on most of Sub-Saharan Africa
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Geographical
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Landlocked
- Sudan as example of being limited to trade with neighbours
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Natural resources
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Lack of essential factors of production/exportable commodities
- South Africa cited lack of resources as explanation for lack of growth
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Curse of the natural resources
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Dutch Disease
- Idea came from Holland's discovery of mass natural gas supplies in the North Sea
- Best example is the Democratic Republic of Congo's issue with diamonds
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'Paradox of Plenty'
- Venezuelan politician that helped found OPEC warned that oil could bring about fall of Venezuela
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Revenue volatility
- Oil and diamonds accounted for 99.3% of Angolan exports
- What happens when prices of these commodities fall?
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Food security
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Between 2006 and 2008, price of rise rose by 216%, price of wheat by 136% and price of corn by 125%
- Impact on people that already struggle to afford food
- Maybe governments can't afford to subsidize food
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Corruption potential
- Nigerian issue in the Ogoniland with Royal Dutch Shell
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Transport/shipping accessibility
- Countries like Mongolia have a lack of trade due to sheer distance from trading ports
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Natural hazard frequency and severity
- More than 500,000 were displaced in 2004 tsunami in Indonesia
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Cultural
- Work ethic
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Valuation of education
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Quality of intellegentisia
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Impact on policy making, leadership and brinksmanship
- Nigeria, for example, has failed to effectively and efficiently utilize aid
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Labour quality
- Has forced many of the South East Asian countries to over-rely on manufacturing which doesn't require many skills
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Demographic
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Values and attitudes towards death rates
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Sierra Leone has a death rate of 22.1
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Youthful population
- Assymetric labour force
- Excessive competition in jobs for younger people (mining and other physically demanding tasks)
- Insufficient jobs in tertiary sector as skilled labour die young
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Values and attitudes towards birth rates
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The Democratic Republic of Congo has a birth rate of 49.6
- Overpopulation can lead to overcrowding and form slums
- Puts pressure on scarce resources (education, oil etc.)
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Social
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Disease
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Malaria as impediment to development
- Over 25,000 per 100,000 Liberians suffer from Malaria
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HIV as impediment to development
- 26.7% of adults between 15-49 in Swaziland have HIV