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EXPLANATORY
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Observational Studies: No Interventions
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Types
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Follow_Up Study
- Advantages
- Strongest observational study
- Permits direct determination of risk
- Easier, cheaper than clinical trials
- Exposure known at beginning of study
- Allows examination of multiple outcomes
- Components
- Sources of Cohorts
- population based
- exposure based
- Selection of comparison groups
- internal comparison
- 2x2 Table of Internal Comparison
- separate cohort control
- 2x2 Table of Separate Cohort Control
- comparison with availabe population rates
- Matching
- Exposed and unexposed individuals are similar in terms of demographics
- Used to ensure susceptibility to disease is equal except for presence of risk factor under investigation
- Alternative Names
- cohort
- prospective
- incidence
- longitudinal
- Disadvantages
- difficult to address rare events
- results not available for a long time
- expensive, but cheaper than clinical trials
- ethical concerns
- Concerns and Biases
- volunteer bias
- healthy worker bias
- migration bias
- surveillance bias
- non-response or loss to follow-up
- data analysis bias
- sources of error
- counfounding
- Measures of Association
- incidence rate
- relative risk
- Retrospective Follow-Up
- Study Designs
- Follow-Up Study Design
- Other Designs
- Examples
- Framingham Heart Study
- Nurses' Health Study
- Women's Health Initiative
- American Cancer Society Cancer Prevention Study 1
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Nested Case-Control Study
- Definition: case-control study within a cohort study
- Advantages
- efficient to conduct
- high comparability of cases and controls because they come from common population
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Case-Control
- Types
- retrospective
- case referent
- case history
- Case-Control Study Design
- Examples
- Adenocarcinoma of the vagina
- Use of proton-pump inhibitors and risk of hip/femur fracture: a population-based case-control study.
- 2x2 Table
- Purpose
- Retrospectively identify potential risk factors of diseases or outcomes
- Not designed to determine effect
- Establish association not causality
- Advantages
- Suited for initial, explanatory studies
- Study rare diseases
- Study a disease that occurs many years after exposure
- Discover possible disease etiological factors
- Can be completed in shorter time frame
- Disadvantages/Biases
- selection bias: subjects not representative of target population
- Berkson's bias: admission rates differ for comparison groups
- Non-response bias: non-respondents may exhibit exposures or outcomes that differ from repsonders causing over or under estimation of odds/risk
- Neyman bias: timing of exposure identification causes cases to be missed
- Unmasking bias: an innocent exposure causes a sign or symptom that precipitates search for a disease but does not itself cause the disease
- information bias
- recall bias: cases more likely to recall exposure than controls
- prevarication bias: lying
- incomparable medical records: incomplete medical records
- interviewer/abstractor bias: knowledge of disease state/outcome might influence intensity of a search for exposure
- data analysis bias -- see bias section for all observational studies
- sources of error -- see sources of error section for all observational studies
- confounding -- see confounding section for all observational studies
- Components
- Selection of Cases
- subjects with a particular outcome
- case definition
- use rigorous criteria
- separate out really severe cases
- use objective criteria
- Sources of Cases
- should be representative of population
- incident cases are best because they are new, more representative of population, and easier to identify
- prevalent cases give you more cases but it's harder to see relationship between exposure and outcome
- Selection of Controls
- subjects who have not experienced the outcome
- controls should have same characteristics as the cases except for outcome
- sources of controls
- population based
- institution based
- controls should represent larger population
- use of multiple controls
- controls of the same type, only ratio is different
- controls of different types
- used to determine a consistent association regardless of population
- Matching
- control for variables known to be related to outcome that may confuse results
- reduces competing explanations for outcome in question
- most commonly matched variables
- age
- sex
- race
- socioeconomic status
- Data Collected About Past Exposure
- Relies on people to recall past exposure and accuracy of medical records
- Difficult to validate
- Measure of Association -- Odds Ratio (OR)
- Statistical test used to determine association between outcome and exposure.
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Cross-Sectional (Prevalence Study)
- Types
- prevalence
- Cross-Sectional Study Design
- Examples
- Birth rates among adolescents 15 to 19 years
- Prevalence of cigarette smoking among U.S. adolescents from 1974 to 1991
- Prevalence of congenital malformations across maternal age
- 2x2 Table
- General Characterisitics
- Exposure and disease measures obtained at level of individual
- Single period of observation
- Quantitative estimate of magnitude of a problem
- Source of hypotheses for future etiologic studies
- Purpose
- Evaluate a new test or new application of an old one
- Evaluate predictive capability of clinical features
- Identify etiological agents or causative factors
- Determine prevalence of a problem
- Advantages
- Good for initial, explanatory studies
- Study rare diseases
- Inexpensive, quick
- Less involvement for px than cohort or clinical trial
- Can be used to identify cases and controls for case-control study
- Disadvantages/Biases
- Can't us to find out what happened first, only if they had outcome and if they had exposure
- Subject Selection
- population selection
- sampling selection
- systematic sampling
- random sampling
- Response/participation Bias: difference between those who participate and those who don't
- Time-order relationships: for example, does obesity or lack of activity come first
- Errors in data collection: how are you asking the questions
- Self-reported Information: are they telling the truth or do they remember everything
- Transient Effects: temporary occurrences that take place during the study
- Exclusion of cases due to rapid death or recovery might bias estimates of prevalence
- Risk factors from prevalent cases may differ from incident cases
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Problems Common to All Observational Studies
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Data Analysis Bias
- post hoc significance bias: decisions regarding significance level made posteriori
- data dredging bias: data analyzed for all possible associations without prior hypotheses
- correlation bias: correlations interpreted as causation
- significance bias: statistical significance is confused with clinical significance
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Source of Errors
- random errors: reflect fluctuations around a true value due to sampling variability
- systematic error
- measurement bias
- confounding
- criteria for a factor to be a confounder
- be a risk factor for the disease
- be associated with exposure under study
- not be an intermediate step between exposure and disease
- control of confounding
- restriction
- matching
- data analysis
- definition: distortion of the estimate of the effect of an exposure because it is mixed with the effect of an extraneous factor
- confounding variables: variables which compete with the hypothesized risk factor as an explanation for the observed response
- Use of 2x2 Tables to Represent Observational Studies
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Experimental Studies: Have Interventions
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Controlled Trial
- clinical trial
- educational intervention
- health-care trial
- Experimental Study Design
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Examples
- Maternal or infant antiretroviral drugs to reduce HIV-1 transmission.
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DESCRIPTIVE
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Types
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Case Reports and Case Series
- definition: case report contains observations of the clinical course of a single patient and a case series of multiple patients
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Purpose
- record events, observations, activities
- communicate significant findings
- initial step in formulation of hypotheses
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Scope
- use of new therapy for some condition
- occurrence of specific ADR
- poisoning
- unexpected presentation of disease
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Advantages/Significance
- early recognition of drug toxicities and teratogenicity
- early identification of potential toxicities of dietary supplements
- identifying treatments for rare disorders
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Disadvantages
- no causality
- Clinical Series
- Population
- Program or Course
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3 Important Characteristics
- person
- place
- time
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Common Uses
- epidemiology