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Key Issues?
- When the market is going up, competition rules
- Countries and markets compete with each other
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Companies compete with each other
- And don't want to be taken over
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Banks compete with each other
- Reducing risk often reduces profits
- When the market is going up, and everybody is making money, it is difficult to make the case for restraint
- Regulators may not have to power to get all of the information they need to provide full oversight of banks, etc.
- Regulators may not have the facilities to run timely risk scenario calculations for the entire market
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Possible Solutions?
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Mandate that derivative products have not only a prospectus, but also details of how to calculate the cashflows
- Investment banks won't like this, it affects their ability to have a competitive advantage
- May require limiting sale of products for which cashflows are too difficult to calculate
- However, would allow 3rd parties, including regulators, to make fully informed decisions about what value and risk they would assign to those products
- This is about legislation, restricting the market to avoid overly risky behaviour
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Mandate how banks calculate risk data, and make banks send their data to regulators (daily?) for aggregation across the market
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Risk data volumes are huge
- Terabytes and more daily for large banks
- An XBRL model might be appropriate, as XBRL has support for multiple versions of data sets across times, regions, etc.
- However, it would probably not be feasible using XML; even using the most compact binary it would be a significant technical challenge
- This is about transparency, making sure everyone has sufficient visibility of what the products are and who is holding which combinations of products
- Licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 Unported License
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Bank
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InvestmentBank
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Comments
- Quants create new derivative financial products with particular characteristics that may suit particular customers
- Traders and Quants determining pricing and publish prospectuses about products
- Quants define how to calculate risk numbers for the bank's positions in any instruments it has on its books
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Has a business based on risk management
- Has to balance risk against profitability
- If not profitable enough, may be bought by a rival which has taken greater risks while market is going up
- Quant
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Derivative Product
- Mortgage Backed Security
- Bond
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Mortgage Customer
- "Ninja"
- Company
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Investor
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Comments
- Buys derivative products based on prospectuses
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May not be able to do own calculations on value (fair price) and risk of products
- May rely on the bank which sells the products
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Market
- Share Market
- Bond Market
- Derivative Market
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Regulator
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Comments
- Sets regulations for what can be traded
- Sets regulations for what needs to be reported
- May outsource some regulation to another organisation, e.g. stock exchange
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May do some of its own risk calculations and projections
- Unlikely to have facilities or data to risk calculations for entire market
- May be pressured to limit the amount of regulation (cost of conforming to regulations), to keep own market competitive with other markets